More Than a War on Terrorism
Terrorism is a tactic used by individuals and organizations to kill and destroy.
Our efforts should be directed at those individuals and organizations.
Calling this struggle a war accurately describes the use of American and
allied armed forces to find and destroy terrorist groups and their allies in the
field, notably in Afghanistan. The language of war also evokes the mobilization
for a national effort. Yet the strategy should be balanced.
The first phase of our post-9/11 efforts rightly included military action to
topple the Taliban and pursue al Qaeda. This work continues. But long-term
success demands the use of all elements of national power: diplomacy,
intelligence, covert action, law enforcement, economic policy, foreign aid,
public diplomacy, and homeland defense. If we favor one tool while neglecting
others, we leave ourselves vulnerable and weaken our national effort.
Certainly the strategy should include offensive operations to counter
terrorism. Terrorists should no longer find safe haven where their organizations
can grow and flourish. America's strategy should be a coalition strategy, that
includes Muslim nations as partners in its development and implementation.
Our effort should be accompanied by a preventive strategy that is as much, or
more, political as it is military. The strategy must focus clearly on the Arab
and Muslim world, in all its variety.
Our strategy should also include defenses. America can be attacked in many
ways and has many vulnerabilities. No defenses are perfect. But risks must be
calculated; hard choices must be made about allocating resources.
Responsibilities for America's defense should be clearly defined. Planning does
make a difference, identifying where a little money might have a large effect.
Defenses also complicate the plans of attackers, increasing their risks of
discovery and failure. Finally, the nation must prepare to deal with attacks
that are not stopped.
Measuring Success
What should Americans expect from their government in the struggle against
Islamist terrorism? The goals seem unlimited: Defeat terrorism anywhere in the
world. But Americans have also been told to expect the worst: An attack is
probably coming; it may be terrible.
With such benchmarks, the justifications for action and spending seem
limitless. Goals are good. Yet effective public policies also need concrete
objectives. Agencies need to be able to measure success.
These measurements do not need to be quantitative: government cannot measure
success in the ways that private firms can. But the targets should be specific
enough so that reasonable observers-in the White House, the Congress, the media,
or the general public-can judge whether or not the objectives have been
attained.
Vague goals match an amorphous picture of the enemy. Al Qaeda and its
affiliates are popularly described as being all over the world, adaptable,
resilient, needing little higher-level organization, and capable of anything.
The American people are thus given the picture of an omnipotent, unslayable
hydra of destruction. This image lowers expectations for government
effectiveness.
It should not lower them too far. Our report shows a determined and capable
group of plotters. Yet the group was fragile, dependent on a few key
personalities, and occasionally left vulnerable by the marginal, unstable people
often attracted to such causes. The enemy made mistakes-like Khalid al Mihdhar's
unauthorized departure from the United States that required him to enter the
country again in July 2001, or the selection of Zacarias Moussaoui as a
participant and Ramzi Binalshibh's transfer of money to him. The U.S. government
was not able to capitalize on those mistakes in time to prevent 9/11.
We do not believe it is possible to defeat all terrorist attacks against
Americans, every time and everywhere. A president should tell the American
people:
- No president can promise that a catastrophic attack like that of 9/11 will
not happen again. History has shown that even the most vigilant and expert
agencies cannot always prevent determined, suicidal attackers from reaching
a target.
- But the American people are entitled to expect their government to do its
very best. They should expect that officials will have realistic objectives,
clear guidance, and effective organization. They are entitled to see some
standards for performance so they can judge, with the help of their elected
representatives, whether the objectives are being met.